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This op ed appeared in the Duluth News Tribune on June 21, 2021 In March, the median price of a home sale in Duluth hit $217,000, up 14% from last…
Beginning July 1, the minimum wage in Minneapolis is set to increase to $12.50 for small businesses and $14.25 for big businesses. The minimum wage will reach $15 next July for big businesses, and July 2024 for small businesses.
This has far-reaching implications for Minneapolis workers, businesses, as well as the whole city as our research, has previously shown. Even more, research has come out showcasing other negative consequences for minimum wage hikes that go beyond job losses.
Between 2015 and 2018, California raised its minimum wage every year, while Texas did not. A new study compared work schedules between these two states to analyze what type of impact the minimum wage hike had on California. As explained by the authors of the study, in an article, the minimum wage hike reduced the number of hours allocated per worker.
For every $1 increase in the minimum wage, we found that the total number of workers scheduled to work each week increased by 27.7%, while the average number of hours each worker worked per week decreased by 20.8%. For an average store in California, these changes translated into four extra workers per week and five fewer hours per worker per week — which meant that the total wage compensation of an average minimum wage worker in a California store actually fell by 13.6%.
This decreased elligibility of work benefits.
We found that for every $1 increase in minimum wage, the percentage of workers working more than 20 hours per week (making them eligible for retirement benefits) decreased by 23.0%, while the percentage of workers with more than 30 hours per week (making them eligible for health care benefits) decreased by 14.9%. This suggests that as minimum wage increases, firms may strategically adjust their scheduling practices to reduce the number of workers eligible for benefits: Our estimates suggest that the average store in our California data set recouped approximately 27.5% of the increase in its wage costs through savings associated with reducing benefits.
Workers were also left with more erratic schedules.
In addition to the direct reduction in wage compensation and associated reduction in eligibility for benefits, we also found that increasing minimum wage led to less consistent work schedules, both in terms of the number of hours employees worked from one week to the next, and in terms of the timing of those shifts. A $1 increase in the minimum wage corresponded to a 33.0% increase in fluctuations in the number of hours worked per week, a 9.5% increase in fluctuations in the number of hours worked per day, and 9.8% increase in fluctuations of shift start times. Furthermore, this negative impact on scheduling consistency was generally more severe for workers who had held their jobs for less time, suggesting that newer employees were particularly impacted by these shifts.
Minimum wage hikes are a bad policy –– this is well established. This study is just yet again more evidence on incentives and why they matter in influencing behavior. Minneapolis is not immune to the laws of incentives, and we should remember that as the city’s minimum wage hike law goes into effect next month.