Minnesota’s Offender Outcomes Devoid of Racial Bias

A Political Narrative at Odds With the Data

Preview:

Minnesota’s Offender Outcomes Devoid of Racial Bias pushes back on the widely accepted narrative that Minnesota’s criminal justice system is biased against black offenders. In fact, the system is more favorable to black offenders and less favorable to white offenders at every stage of the system, including incarceration.

The report uses an expanded offender data set as the denominator in calculations examining the impact of Minnesota’s criminal justice system from arrests to sentencing to incarceration. The result? White offenders are much more likely to be held accountable than black offenders.

David Zimmer, the report’s author, analyzed 2022 crime data collected by the Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension (BCA) that showed black Minnesotans committed 35% of all serious crime (murder, felony assault, robbery, weapon crimes, felony drug crimes, and rape). In 2022, when adjusted for population share, serious criminal offenders in Minnesota were 11 times more likely to be black than white — up from the ratio of 10:1 in 2021. The report showed that once blacks enter the criminal justice system through arrest, the system is more likely to “self-correct,” leading to more punitive outcomes for white offenders.

The report delineates the important difference between racial “disproportions,” which do exist in the data, and unwarranted racial “disparities,” which do not exist in Minnesota’s criminal justice system when it comes to serious crimes.

From the conclusion of the report:

It is time for policymakers to recognize that Minnesota’s criminal justice system is not creating unwarranted “disparities” disfavoring black offenders. Responding as if it does, and altering the system to reduce accountability for black offenders, is a misguided effort. It is one that harms the black community in the present while it derails, delays, and underfunds efforts to apply long-term solutions toward the social disparities that fuel the disproportionate amount of black criminality and black victimization.

Before joining American Experiment, David Zimmer was a 33-year veteran with the Hennepin County Sheriff’s Department.

A copy of the full report can be accessed here.